Predict your top 10 going into playoffs/finals

[rygorych]

1. Q-veta
2. Renaud
3. Duck
4. YZ

These four area already high on points and will likely win at least 1 other game. I don't think l77 will win another game, nor will Kruppe.

5. Darkness
Rough start, but he will put in 2 more wins.

6. Rain
Bad (karmic) luck last game, but I'm pretty sure he can pull out 2/3.

7. Maga
Now that he's in the baddie bracket, he can get some free wins.

8. Johny
Solid and consistent, 2/3 is safe bet.

9. Eshan
He will likely lose 1 more game and then pull out 2 wins in the baddie brackets.

10. Rebuke
As much as I think Rebuke is one-cookie pony, he should be able to stall for 9 more hours and 2 more wins.


Close, but not quite:

Rygorych - the Gold Rush rush+disconnect screwed me over hard. I've had the game mapped out down to a tee. The shit I had in store for the speshul-ebo-strat you wouldn't believe. Unfortunately you won't see it ever, or unless I play another gold rush FML round. I think I will win 1/3 in the last 3 rounds, which won't be enough to make playoffs.

Wrecktify - solid with HU and even NE on his last game, obviously not as rusty anymore, but he is lacking the pizzaz for this season. He will put another win 1, but I'm not sure about 2.

Starshaped - not unless the stars shine on him

Darkermirror - I'd love for this guy to make the playoffs, but he is going to facing some tough titties next 2 rounds. I can only see him winning 1, the last one.

Ugri - I'm not sure if Ugri can cut it with 2/3 or only 3/3. But honestly, sorry Ugri, as much as I like you, I don't think you can do 2/3.

W8man - Same as darker, not going to make more than 1/3.

Lightweight - I'd love for him to make it out of lost qualifier into semis, and hopefully using a Naga, but sorry, not quite there yet.

Walking, Human* and Sparkle are pretty low on points, so they'd need some hard luck to get it in.

Dase - yeah, he might win 3/3 in baddie brackets, but I think odds are against him, especially if he faces maga + 2 decents.




========

My finals lineup:


1. Duck - probably top 3 player right now when combined micro + macro. Unlike Maga, which would be natural to compare, knows how to not get teamed. I'm not sure if  Duck will be in top 1/2 auto finalists, or come out of playoffs, that's going to depend on his next 3 matchups and how tough they are on UD.

2. Darkness - unfortunately, it's time for cookie to finally cut its way in to the finals. I don't think Darkness will be 1/2, but he will most likely win his semi.

3. Either Q or Renaud. Karma says, they will have to fight it out again in the semis.

4. A wildcard. Johny, or Rain, likely, the guys you expect to perform very well, but not quite in the finals.

[FML|Renaud]

This is both an interesting and scary topic, i'll try to write something!

[FML|Renaud]

First, lets try to figure the points we need
Last season was 55 pts, so I would guess we need 85 pts this time ((55/4) * 6)
(This is an estimation, don't go quoting me if you don't make it with 85 pts!!!)

Based on those assumptions:

60-61
Must not get last  twice (unless they win the other)

55
Either win once, or never get last

40-45
must win once

25-35
Must win twice

15-20
Must win thrice

[rygorych]

No way Renaud, your numbers are way off. I'm pretty sure the playoffs cutoff point will be around 95-100.

[Walking.TrL]

No way Renaud, your numbers are way off. I'm pretty sure the playoffs cutoff point will be around 95-100.

Meh we've had 3/6 rounds and the cut-off is 45.  So.... lets say 90?

[Kruppe]

This topic stinks of impertinence.

Kruppe played 7 FML games and won 3 of them, by being able to win 2 more despite of hardcore PM-team-zerging performed by established players including admins versus a new player.

Kruppe won vs. Darkness, Madzoo, Slythe, Starshaped (twice), Magadansky and Wrecktify.

Dear colleagues, in the name of all new players in this league who did well, I kindly ask for more respect.

And Kruppe will never stop playing to win.

Concerning APM discussion - analyze Kruppe's replays regarding actions, use abilities and ignore right clicks.

Kruppe will not retreat.

[rygorych]

This isn't about respect. Just predictions.

[Kruppe]

Ok, now Kruppe understands.

Still Kruppe is interested how the predictions match my post.

[Wrecktify]

This topic stinks of impertinence.

Kruppe played 7 FML games and won 3 of them, by being able to win 2 more despite of hardcore PM-team-zerging performed by established players including admins versus a new player.

Kruppe won vs. Darkness, Madzoo, Slythe, Starshaped (twice), Magadansky and Wrecktify.

Dear colleagues, in the name of all new players in this league who did well, I kindly ask for more respect.

And Kruppe will never stop playing to win.

Concerning APM discussion - analyze Kruppe's replays regarding actions, use abilities and ignore right clicks.

Kruppe will not retreat.

Technically you won in a GAME with me, you lost multiple fights and a base to me :)

[Kruppe]

My dear Sir,

I lost one fight versus you when I was ~67.

All following fights I won clearly.

Or was it me porting back? Or retreating to the base with 3 heroes nearly dead?
Watch that replay, dear friend.

[FML|Renaud]

In war, there is only one battle you must win, the last one :D

[Kruppe]

True words, Renaud.

[rygorych]

I love Kruppe. Somehow I always imagine him as this huge troll.
For example:

This topic stinks of impertinence.

Kruppe played 7 FML games and won 3 of them, by being able to win 2 more despite of hardcore PM-team-zerging performed by established players including admins versus a new player.

Kruppe won vs. Darkness, Madzoo, Slythe, Starshaped (twice), Magadansky and Wrecktify.

Dear colleagues, in the name of all new players in this league who did well, I kindly ask for more respect.

And Kruppe will never stop playing to win.

Concerning APM discussion - analyze Kruppe's replays regarding actions, use abilities and ignore right clicks.

Kruppe will not retreat.

(click to show/hide)

"Why you talking shit? I beat all you noobs: maga, darkness, slythe, wreck, all you fuckers suck. The fact that you fail to respect me means that you're scared of playing vs me. Cause I always play 4 the win. Bitch. And as for apm, bitch please, watch reps k thx. I ain't going nowhere."

Ok, now Kruppe understands.

Still Kruppe is interested how the predictions match my post.

(click to show/hide)

"OK I get you now, but you're still a c*nt"

My dear Sir,

I lost one fight versus you when I was ~67.

All following fights I won clearly.

Or was it me porting back? Or retreating to the base with 3 heroes nearly dead?
Watch that replay, dear friend.

(click to show/hide)

"Lolnub, you hit me when I'm weak so I had to port. In a real battle 100vs100, equal heroes I pwn you any day, SON."

True words, Renaud.

(click to show/hide)

"Tru dat. Fag."

[FML|Mage]

I trust that the master of the deck will allow only what information is necessary to become available for poor Kruppe. That being said, I'm sure that Kruppe has prevailed against tougher opponents then those listed however.

[Ugrilainen]

Kruppe is really touchy when someone is not mentioning him as a favorite or recognizing his talent as he thinks he should.

Frankly I played you once and took you out easily on deathrose in battle with same food score. So I'm not very impressed and i wouldnt make you one of my favorite neither.

you won 3 games that's good but i remember that 2 of them were handed to you (especially the madzoo one with 2 players suiciding each other while you just mine all market square). The last you won , all the obs were wondering as well why you would be left alone for so long.

In the end I think you are pretty good but still an underdog. Same level as players like Johny, darkermirror or else, who could finish between 9-16th approx.

And before you get personal on 3rd person style, ugrilainen will finish in the last 8 because his skill is low and he cannot train at all nowadays